Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks – Nov. 12

The Miami Heat (7-4) will host the Cleveland Cavaliers (7-4) after victories in five home games in a row. The Heat match up with the Cavaliers in a game that Miami is currently a favorite by 6 points. The point total for the game is 238.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Heat-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSOH
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 123 – Cavaliers 120

Heat vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

• Out of 11 games thus far this season, the Heat have had seven with more than 238.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
• This year, five of the Cavaliers’ 11 games have had a combined total higher than 238.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 9.3 more points per game, 247.8, than this matchup’s total of 238.5 points.
• The Heat and the Cavaliers have seen their opponents average a combined 1.0 fewer point per game than the over/under of 238.5 set for this game.
• Miami has won in each of the two matchups it has played as odds-on favorites this season.
• Cleveland has yet to play a game this season while listed as the underdog.
• Miami has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head meetings with Cleveland.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking the court against the Cavaliers.
• The Heat beat the point spread in their previous three games, and were the favorites in one of those games.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have eight wins against the spread in 11 games this year.
• Miami has been favored by 6 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Heat games this year have hit the over 63.6% of the time (seven out of 11 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up 7.8 more points per game (125.5) than the Cavaliers allow (117.7).
• Miami is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall when scoring more than 117.7 points.
• The Heat make 49.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.1 percentage points higher than the Cavaliers have allowed to their opponents (46.5%).
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-0-0) than they have in road affairs (3-2-1).
• Miami has exceeded the over/under in three of five home games (60%). It has done better on the road, eclipsing the total in four of six matchups (66.7%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 17.5 points, 5.2 assists and 7.5 rebounds per contest.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 17.8 points, 4.4 boards and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 52.7% from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made treys per game.
• Davion Mitchell posts 9.4 points, 2.7 boards and 7.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Kel’el Ware averages 10.1 points, 0.6 assists and 8.8 boards.
• Norman Powell posts 24.5 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 45.8% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made treys per contest.

Heat Player Props

Cavaliers Recent Trends

• Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 4-7-0 this season.
• Cavaliers games this season have eclipsed the over/under six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• The Cavaliers’ 122.3 points per game are just 2.5 more points than the 119.8 the Heat allow.
• Cleveland has put together a 2-3 ATS record and a 4-1 overall record in games it scores more than 119.8 points.
• The Cavaliers have shot at a 45.5% rate from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• The Cavaliers have been better against the spread at home (2-3-0) than away (2-4-0) this season.
• Cleveland’s games have gone above the over/under less often at home (two times out of five) than away (four of six) this season.
• This season the Cavaliers are 4-1 at home when moneyline favorites (.800 winning percentage). On the road they are 3-3 (.500).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Cavaliers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Donovan Mitchell gets the Cavaliers 30.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Cavaliers are getting 15.0 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jarrett Allen this season.
• Jaylon Tyson gives the Cavaliers 11.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while averaging 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• De’Andre Hunter is averaging 19.0 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is draining 41.9% of his shots from the field and 29.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Sam Merrill gets the Cavaliers 14.6 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Cavaliers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.