Based on updated simulations, Dimers’ proven college basketball model gives Drake a slight edge with a 51% win probability over Illinois-Chicago.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday’s Illinois-Chicago vs. Drake matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Illinois-Chicago vs. Drake prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday’s NCAA basketball game between Illinois-Chicago and Drake 10,000 times as part of our men’s college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Drake a 51% chance of beating Illinois-Chicago. Our predicted final score has Drake winning 73-72.
According to our model, Drake (+1.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Illinois-Chicago vs. Drake odds
We have researched the best men’s college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Illinois-Chicago | Drake |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-125) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -110 |
| Total | o146.5 (-112) | u146.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Illinois-Chicago vs. Drake picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
![Drake favored to win men’s college basketball matchup [2/12/2026] Drake favored to win men’s college basketball matchup [2/12/2026]](http://cdn.cosmicjs.com/f7eb4710-080b-11f1-ad9c-e780c3d29c9d-CBB_2025_102_DRKE_UIC.png)


