Mets vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 6

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the New York Mets square off against Daniel Schneemann and the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. ET in the final game of a three-game series. The Mets are favored in this one, at -175, while the underdog Guardians have +146 odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and CLEG

Mets vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Guardians 46%

Mets vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 81 times and won 50, or 61.7%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 22-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -175 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 63.6% chance to win.
• The Guardians have won in 28, or 43.8%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Cleveland has a mark of 4-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +146 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 2-5 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Mets have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has a team-best 25 home runs.
• Soto is 11th in homers and 36th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he paces his team with 25 home runs and 91 runs batted in, with a team-high .267 batting average.
• Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and second in RBI on the year.
• Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, three home runs, two walks and 10 RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .251 with 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 37 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 34 walks while batting .255.

Mets Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the lineup with a batting average of .296, while leading the Guardians in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 61.
• Ramirez is 15th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .285 with 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks.
• Kwan is 162nd in home runs and 155th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Carlos Santana has eight doubles, 11 home runs and 47 walks while batting .229.
• Kyle Manzardo is batting .235 with 13 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 33 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Guardians vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.